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| The typhoon research team is
responsible for the study of typhoon analysis
using observation data and numerical model
to understand the mechanism of typhoon development
and to improve the accuracy of typhoon forecast. |
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Study on the typhoon
structure and mechanism |
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Study on the change of typhoon
intensity |
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Development of typhoon model |
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Study on the surveillance of
typhoon and observation network |
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Analysis and forecast of typhoon
disaster |
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Structure and
development of typhoon is influenced
by environmental forcing such as sea
surface temperature (SST), mid-latitude
trough. To understand development mechanism
of typhoon, we investigate the relationship
between typhoon and SST, ocean flux
and mid-latitude trough.
It is difficult to observe typhoon at
the initial and mature stage because
typhoon is developed in the open ocean.
Satellite observations are very useful
to the study of typhoon over the ocean.
They give the typhoon information such
as intensity, center location and structure.
In this study, typhoon information retrieved
from satellite is applied for the study
of structure and development mechanism. |
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subjects of this study include
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Interaction of typhoon
and SST, ocean flux. |
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Analysis of typhoon intensity
and structure from satellite data |
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Influences of mid-latitude environment
on the typhoon development. |
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The triply nested high
resolution typhoon model MTM (Moving-nest
Typhoon Model) has been implemented
on the KMA¡¯s new supercomputer Cray
X1E. The GFDL type bogussing technique
and moving grid scheme in MTM were developed
by the Typhoon Research Center of Kongju
National University, based on the frame
work of MM5 meso-scale model. The MTM
will be hopefully run as a KMA¡¯s operational
typhoon model, after evaluation of its
performance and optimization of the
code.
As an effort to develop a next generation
operational typhoon model, T-WRF (Typhoon-WRF)
adopted from the WRF (Weather Research
and Forecasting) meso-scale model will
be evaluated to see its prediction capability
for the tropical cyclone track, intensity,
and rainfall around the Korean Peninsula.
To predict the typhoon intensity after
landfall, statistical model is developed.
Central pressure and maximum sustained
wind speed (MSWS) are forecasted for
2 days. Regression equations for central
pressure and MSWS are derived using
the typhoon best track data from 1951
to 2004, provided from the RSMC Tokyo
and JTWC. We plan to try more various
prediction method like multiple linear
regression model, neural network model,
genetic algorithm, and so forth. |
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TAPS
has been developed to analyze the typhoon
characteristics and display the typhoon
track since 1999. It helps editing advisories
and model output for operational forecasters.
TAPS is developed using Java language
program and can be run on windows system.
The function of TAPS is composed of
analysis, prediction and statistics.
TAPS displays the typhoon track from
the various numerical model output.
We plan to develop a new version of
TAPS. New TAPS includes more typhoon
contents such as typhoon strike probability,
statistical model results, forecast
of typhoon occurrence, and radius of
maximum wind speed etc. |
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Strong wind and heavy rainfall
caused by typhoon give rise to considerable
human life and property damage. In this
study, we collect the typhoon disaster
information and make it database as
regional and temporal groups and typhoon
intensity. We analyze the characteristics
of typhoon disaster and then construct
typhoon disaster prediction system on
a basis of accumulated information.
We will be able to accurately predict
disaster state by typhoon at certain
region and time before landfall over
the Korean Peninsula. We will be able
to find and cope with damage by typhoon
at vulnerable region in advance. |
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While
the retrieval of typhoon information
from satellite give much of data to
us, there are some limitations to study
the inner structure of typhoon, precipitation
system, and atmospheric wind and water
vapor profiles.
For the detail analysis of typhoon inner
structures and earlier preparation for
the severe disaster, typhoon observation
network is needed. It is projected that
observation systems such as the radar,
wind profiler, sonde, and buoy, will
be installed at Jeju island. Construction
of the optimized observation network
and its application make good condition
for the typhoon research and forecast.
These data provide additional insights
to typhoon modelers and forecasters
who continually strive to improve typhoon
prediction. |
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